印度政府数据显示，印度经济将在三年内实现最快增长

India's economy to grow fastest in 3 yrs: govt data
India’s economy is projected to grow at its fastest pace in three years in fiscal 2018-19, recovering from the impact of demonetisation and the goods and services tax (GST). India will retain its ranking as the world’s fastest-growing economy, thegovernmentsaid. Gross domestic product (GDP) is forecast to grow 7.2 per cent, up from 6.7 per cent last year.
Gross value added (GVA) growth is seen at 7 per cent against 6.5 per cent last year, according to according to the first, full-fiscal-year estimate released by the Central Statistics Office (CSO) recently.
The forecast is a bit lower than 7.4 per cent estimated by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has forecast 7.3 per cent growth in the current fiscal and 7.4 per cent in the year after.
The growth number seems realistic and may not a revision as it fairly reflects the present situation, a news agency quoted DK Joshi, chief economist at ratings agency Crisil, as saying.
The Indian economy grew 7.6 per cent in the first half of the fiscal, suggesting a moderation in the second half with liquidity constraints and high crude prices a drag in the third quarter. Growth had declined to a below-expectation 7.1 per cent in the second quarter from 8.2 per cent in the first quarter.
The higher economic growth rides on a strong recovery in investments. Gross fixed capital formation is up 12.2 per cent this fiscal against 7.6 per cent in the last.
Private consumption is forecast to slow to 6.4 per cent rise this fiscal from 6.6 per cent in the last. Government consumption is also moderately lower at a 9.2 per cent rise this fiscal against 10.9 per cent in the last.
CSO sees manufacturing sector growth at 8.3 per cent compared with 5.7 per cent a year ago. Farm sector growth is projected at 3.8 per cent, slightly ahead of 3.4 per cent last fiscal.
译文如下：
印度政府数据显示，印度经济将在三年内实现最快增长
预计印度经济在2018-19财年将以3年来最快的速度增长，从废钞和商品及服务税(GST)的影响中复苏。印度政府表示，印度仍将是全球增长最快的经济体。预计该国国内生产总值(GDP)将增长7.2%，高于去年的6.7%。
根据国家统计局(CSO)最近发布的首份全财年预估数据，该国的总增加值(GVA)增幅预计为7%，高于去年的6.5%。
这一预测略低于印度央行(RBI)估计的7.4%。国际货币基金组织(IMF)预测，当前财年的经济增长率为7.3%，下一财年为7.4%。
一家新闻机构引用信用评级机构Crisil首席经济学家乔希的话说，这一增长数字看起来是现实的，可能不是修正后的数字，因为它公正地反映了目前的形势。
印度上半年经济增长7.6%，这表明，由于流动性限制和高企的原油价格拖累了第三季度，下半年经济增长有所放缓。今年第二季度，印度经济增长率从第一季度的8.2%降至7.1%，低于预期。
更高的经济增长依赖于投资的强劲复苏。本财年固定资本形成总额增长12.2%，高于上一财年的7.6%。
预计本财年私人消费增长将从上一财年的6.6%放缓至6.4%。政府消费也略有下降至9.2%，低于上一财年的10.9%。
CSO预计，该国制造业将增长8.3%，而去年同期为5.7%。农业部门的增长率预计为3.8%，略高于上一财年的3.4%。