2017/18年度印度棉花出口量预计将增长40%

India's exports are expected to grow by 40% in 2017/18

India's cotton exports are expected to grow by 40 per cent in 2017/18, which the country's cotton exports will continue to grow in the coming months. Chirag Patel, chief executive officer of Jaydeep cotton Pvt Ltd, the world's largest cotton exporter, says Indian cotton faces a big opportunity this year, dut to the Asian buyers have moved from the US to India to buy cotton.

According to the United States department of agriculture, 86 percent of cotton exports to the United States were exported to Asia in 2016. The Brazilian cotton and Australian cotton have little competitive advantage, but Indian cotton has obvious price advantage, and the new annual Indian cotton is expected to be abundant in production, which will cause greater competitive pressure on mian cotton.

It is reported that Indian traders export 80 cents per pound of CNF, which has a price advantage of 2 cents per pound. It is forecast that India will produce a record 6.8 million tonnes of cotton in 2017/18, and that the price cut will make India's cotton exports more competitive. India's cotton exporters are expected to export 12.75 million tonnes of cotton in 2017/18, up from 1.02 million tonnes in the previous year. If China's imports rise, India's exports could exceed 1.36 million tonnes.

译文如下：

2017/18年度印度棉花出口量预计将增长40%

据悉，2017/18年度印度棉花出口量预计将增长40%，未来几个月印度棉花出口的情况将持续火爆。全球最大的棉花出口商Jaydeep cotton Pvt Ltd 的Chirag Patel表示，印度棉花今年面临很大的机会，亚洲买家已经开始从美国转向印度采购棉花。

据美国农业部的数据显示，2016年美国出口棉花达86%，其中69%销往亚洲。巴西棉和澳棉的竞争优势不大，但是印度棉由于价格优势明显，且新年度印度棉花预计产量富足，会对美棉造成较大的竞争压力。

据悉，印度贸易商以80美分/磅的CNF价格出口，较美棉有2美分/磅左右的价格优势。有预测称，2017/18年度印度的棉花产量将达到创纪录的680万吨，增产导致的降价将使印度棉花出口更具竞争力。印度棉花出口商预计，2007/18年度印度棉花出口量将达到127.5万吨，高于上年度的102万吨。如果中国的进口量增加，印度棉花出口量将有可能超过136万吨。

(编译：杨朝霞)