越南棉花产业可能会看到来自中国的需求增长

越南棉花产业可能会看到来自中国的需求增长

随着最近中国服装行业增长，纱线有所需求，主要由于越南棉花产业可能会上升。2016-2017前几个月越南的棉花进口有所增加。据估计，进口将增加18%。

中国服装行业因来自美国和欧洲对廉价制造服装需求而蓬勃发展。在中国，该行业集中在生产纺织成品，这就解释了对越南纱线的需求。

一些专家和业内观察人士担心，中国国内棉花生产增加，其价格会有所降低，致使越南棉花没有收益。然而，许多在中国，越来越多的转向城市就业，城市的生活方式很难满足其农业劳动力的需求。

还有待观察服装行业的未来。一件事可能对美国的生产有极大的影响。美国农业部最近发布了一份报告说，美国棉花消费下降，同时美国的产量却在上升。由此产生的顺差可能足以压低价格，纺织沉重的经济体开始感到真正的影响。

许多人也担心新当选的特朗普总统改变贸易政策。这一举动可能会向本已脆弱的市场引入波动。这将是另一种方式，美国可以影响东亚的棉花产业。

东亚服装行业的局势尤其令人关注，因为现在纺纱的价格很低。因此对纺纱的许多预期需求遭受损失。然而这个行业却超出了预期，并返回在孟加拉国，巴基斯坦，印度和其他已经高于预期的地方。

VN cotton Industry likely to see growthe on demand from China

With the recent growth in the Chinese garment industry there is a demand for yarn due to which Vietnam’s cotton industry likely to see uptick. Vietnam’s cotton imports to increase in the first few months of 2016-17. It is estimated that imports will experience an increase of 18 percent.

The Chinese garment industry has thrived on the demand from the US and Europe for cheaply manufactured clothes. In China this industry focuses on produces finished textile goods, which explains the demand for the yarn from Vietnam.

Some experts and industry watchers are worried that China’s internal cotton production has increased to the point where its prices will be low enough to render Vietnam’s cotton unproductive. However as many in China increasingly turn to the cities for employment and the urban lifestyle the Chinese Communist Party is having a harder time meeting its agricultural labor needs.

It remains to be seen what the future holds for the garment industry. One thing that could have an outsized effect is US production. The USDA recently released a report that said that US cotton consumption is down while US production is on the rise. The resulting surplus could be enough to drive prices down to the point where textile heavy economies start feeling real impacts.

Many are also worried that trade policies will be altered by President-Elect Trump. Such a move could introduce volatility into an already fragile market. This would be another way the US could influence the East Asian cotton industry.

The situation in East Asian garment industries is particularly interesting because spinning prices are so low right now. As a result many expected demand for spun yarn to take a hit. However the industry beat expectations and returns in Bangladesh, Pakistan, India, and other places have been higher than expected.